GE stock is on a tear ahead of earnings, as analysts tout it as a COVID-19 vaccine play

GE has outperformed its industrial peers in October, as the stock rose to a more than 4-month high before pulling back

Shares of General Electric Co. surged to the highest price seen in four months before pulling back, as Wall Street has gotten a little more optimistic on the outlook ahead of the industrial conglomerate’s earnings report.

General Electric Co.
General Electric Co.

The stock GE climbed as much as 4.0% to an intraday high of $8.03, the highest price seen since June 9, before pulling back to trade down 0.7%. It has still soared 23.0% in October, making the stock the best month-to-date performer among the SPDR Industrial Select Sector exchange-traded fund’s XLI components, and the fourth-best performer in the S&P 500.

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Occidental Petroleum: The Casino Opens


  • The worst may be over for Occidental.
  • Occidental probably needs at least average WTI prices in the next fiscal year and the years after that to deleverage.
  • Coronavirus demand destruction and the OPEC price war changed a viable deleveraging plan into a very speculative one.
  • In more normal industry times, the preferred stock requirements and additional debt would have been more than offset by the cash flow of the acquired properties.
  • The debt due schedule went from routine to extremely challenging. So far, management has been up to the challenge.

Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) appears to have weathered the worst of fiscal year 2020. Now, if the company can get the original deleveraging program back on track, then there is still a good chance for the company to benefit from the acquisition.

No one saw the coronavirus demand destruction when the bidding for Anadarko Petroleum began. Had that been the case, obviously, the bidding, if any, would have been very different.

Now, though, it might be time to look at the “casino stocks” that have a reasonable chance of heading towards investment-grade designation.

Occidental Petroleum is one of those stocks.

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MAHB checkmates AirAsia X

THE love-hate relationship between Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB) and AirAsia Group Bhd along with entities linked to the latter is no secret to those who watch the aviation industry closely.

The two, together with AirAsia’s long-haul arm AirAsia X Bhd (AAX), work on a symbiotic relationship, or so it seems.

MAHB has slapped AAX with a RM78.16mil lawsuit, just two weeks after the airline announced a restructuring scheme for RM63bil of its debts, in which it expects creditors to take a 99% haircut.

Back against the wall: MAHB will potentially lose RM254mil in revenue a year, on a proforma basis assuming the hypothetical closure of AAX at the beginning of 2019. — Reuters
FILE PHOTO: Tail of AirAsia X plane as seen at the Garuda Maintenance Facility AeroAsia in Tangerang, Indonesia, September 20, 2017. Picture taken September 20, 2017. REUTERS/Beawiharta/File Photo

It is also seeking to intervene in AAX’s restructuring scheme to be classified as secured creditors.

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Occidental Petroleum: Capitalizing On The Carbon Capture Craze


  • Occidental Petroleum is not just an oil and gas company anymore.
  • The company is leveraging decades of experience managing carbon dioxide into new business ventures with a capital-light approach taking joint venture partners that bring something to the table.
  • We think Occidental can be bought at present levels by risk-tolerant investors for future growth and income.


Anyone want to read another doom and gloom article on Occidental Petroleum (OXY)? I didn’t think so.

I’ve got good news, you’re not going to read one here. This article will have a very specific focus, so I am going to link another very positive article on OXY, as it covers all the oil and gas and financial business I am going to skip in this article.

I have written extensively on this company since mid-2019. I initially fell under the spell cast by the spectacular assets Occidental Petroleum acquired from Anadarko, along with the potential of the promised synergies and divestiture program for non-core assets. This allowed me to look past the monumental debt the company racked up in so doing. In a scenario where oil prices continued the upward trend they were exhibiting at the time of this deal, I would be a bit ebullient as I looked back on it.

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AAX: The last stand

A master reset at the loss-making and debt-laden AirAsia X Bhd (AAX) has been a long time coming.

It could have dragged its financial woes on and on but the Covid-19 pandemic, which has thrashed the aviation industry globally, may very well have forced the hand of low-cost, long-haul associate of AirAsia Group Bhd. It could still be a blessing in disguise, depending on how the restructuring plan for its RM63.5bil debt turns out.

The pandemic, which has grounded the airline’s entire fleet since the second quarter of 2020, has delivered the hard reset button to AAX to do some soul searching and to right its wrongs before it prepares for take-off again.

AAX: The last stand
AAX: The last stand

From the very beginning, sceptics had doubted whether a business model of a long-haul budget airline would work, seeing how the late Sir Freddie Laker’s Skytrain went bust in the 80s.

Thirteen years down the road, it would seem like AAX might go down the same road and prove its critics right.

Ever since it went public in 2013, it has only been profitable in 2016 and 2017. It made its debut on Bursa Malaysia at RM1.26, and as of yesterday, the share price closed at a mere four sen.

As of the first half ended June 30 this year, AAX had raked up accumulated losses of RM854.94mil.

Will AAX rise again from its ashes, or will this be the fatal blow that sends the airline to its untimely demise?

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Hot for gloves

16 Oct 2020

Mah Sing Group Bhd, a property developer, has its eyes set on becoming a rubber glove manufacturer with a production of 30 billion gloves per year.

At a signing ceremony yesterday, it announced plans to diversify into glove manufacturing and other related healthcare products via subsidiary Mah Sing Healthcare Sdn Bhd to take advantage of the boom in glove demand caused by the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic.

All systems go: (From left) Malaysian Investment Development Authority chairman Datuk Abdul Majid Ahmad Khan presenting Miti’s interim approval for the manufacturing licence for surgical, examination and other gloves to Mah Sing’s founder and group MD Tan Sri Leong Hoy Kum and Mah Sing’s group strategy and operations director Lionel Leong yesterday.
Mah Sing Healthcare has obtained the interim approval from MITI for the
manufacturing license for surgical, examination, and other gloves. The certificate was
presented by Chairman of MIDA, Dato’ Abdul Majid Ahmad Khan (left) to Mah Sing’s Founder
and Group Managing Director, Tan Sri Leong Hoy Kum (centre) and Mah Sing’s Group
Strategy and Operations Director, Lionel Leong.(right)

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It’s do or die for AirAsia X

AirAsia X Bhd (AAX), now at an existential crossroads, is in dire need of massive debt forgiveness from its creditors, or be prepared to shut its business down for good.

The low-cost, medium-haul airline, which has grounded all its flights due to the Covid-19 outbreak, is asking creditors and suppliers to forgo over RM63bil in liability and instead accept a maximum RM200mil in payment.

While the proposal may sound atrocious, analysts think many creditors would, in fact, accept the offer.

Tony Fernandes

After all, if the proposed debt restructuring fails, the creditors will get close to nothing as AAX will be liquidated.

AAX’s aircraft lessors, in particular, may also struggle to redeploy their aircraft to other airlines during the pandemic, according to CGS-CIMB Research analyst Raymond Yap.

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Occidental Petroleum: Selling Gems For Pennies


  • Occidental Petroleum announced the sale of its Colombian assets at a direct cheap multiple to Carlyle Group.
  • This represents a near total move out of Colombia after decades working in the region, helping the country shift to oil exporter status.
  • This transaction, among others, is an example of how a bad balance sheet can force companies to sell great assets for pennies on the dollar.

In continued asset sale news, Occidental Petroleum (OXY) has announced that it sold its onshore holdings in Colombia to the Carlyle Group (CG). Receiving $700mm upfront with the potential for another $125mm payout if certain commodity price and production targets are met, investors would be forgiven if they thought this was a great deal. After all, critics have long hammered the company on liquidity concerns, primarily revolving around its upcoming refinancing maturity wall. Tie this sale into the news that Warren Buffett would see his preferreds paid for with cash instead of with stock, and investors would be forgiven if they thought the future outlook appeared wonderful.

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Revisiting Occidental Petroleum And Warren Buffett


  • Occidental Petroleum has an impressive low cost portfolio of assets, supported by prior year capital spending.
  • The company recently announced it would pay its $200 million quarterly payment to Warren Buffett in cash. That’s a sign of financial strength.
  • The company continues to have a significant amount of debt, but that debt is manageable. Managing that debt could actually result in enormous shareholder returns, despite anything else.
  • Occidental Petroleum’s shareholder returns in the coming years depend heavily on OPEC+ maintaining production cuts.

Occidental Petroleum

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Occidental Looking For New Lows


  • Shares trend lower as oil can’t break out.
  • Cash dividend to Buffett is a curious move.
  • Next debt raise will be interesting to watch.

About a month ago, I detailed how shares of Occidental Petroleum (OXY) could easily see the single digits again. Oil prices just were not breaking higher, despite normally positive catalysts such as an improving US economy and multiple Gulf of Mexico tropical systems.

On Tuesday, shares in fact fell below the $10 mark, and they now sit less than a dollar away from the stock’s multi-year low.

OXY price performance
OXY price performance – (Source: Yahoo Finance)

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